Essential Information on an Essential Issue
24 September, 2001
- WAR AND RECESSION
Following the 11th September terrorist attacks on the World Trade Centre and the
Pentagon, the world economy has sharply contracted. Stockmarkets have suffered falls reminiscent
of the crashes of 1987 and the grim days of the Great Depression
and hundreds of thousands
of job layoffs have been immediately announced throughout America and Europe.
The American economy had been riding close to a recession in the months before the
terrorist attacks. In the week just before the attacks the US unemployment rate jumped sharply to
4.9% after businesses eliminated more than 100,000 jobs in August alone. Wall St immediately
greeted these worse-than-expected jobs figures by wiping billions off the value of company stocks,
with the fear that US consumer spending would soon weaken.
But after the unprecedented attacks on the US mainland, and the subsequent mobilisation
for war, these fears of an economic recession seem certain to eventuate.
The prospect of a US recession comes at a time when Japan and much of the rest of Asia
are already stalling economically
and growth in Europe has slowed to a crawl. This will have
a definite impact on the New Zealand economy, despite the generally good economic figures
the government has been showing for most of this year. The United States, Japan and Australia
are NZ's most lucrative export markets
and sales of NZ products are sure to suffer. Tourism,
one of the strongest sectors in our economy, will also be hard hit.
- The world's central bankers co-ordinated their efforts to prop up financial markets in
the face of recession. The Federal Reserve lowered its funds rate by 0.5% just before Wall St
re-opened after the terrorist tragedy. The Feds also injected unusually high volumes of cash into
the finance markets, to give lenders the confidence to extend credit without disruption. The
European Central Bank followed suit, as did other central bankers in Japan, Hong Kong and
and the Reserve Bank here in New Zealand. There is also a high likelihood of further rate
cuts before Christmas.
The bankers argue that while the attacks might discourage domestic economic activity in
the meantime, the response from governments will see other forms of spending which will help
pull the economy out of its recession dive. President Bush has authorised financial assistance
for airlines (who were already facing uncertain times before the attacks) and Congress has
authorised spending of $40 billion to repair the damage from the attacks and to beef up airport security.
- CULLEN TO BRING FORWARD CAPITAL WORKS
The New Zealand government seems set to join an international spend-up in order to
stave off an economic recession. Finance Minister Michael Cullen said last week that he was
prepared to augment the Reserve Bank's interest rate cuts by bringing forward planned capital works
effectively pumping money into roads, new schools and other building projects.
Cullen was careful to point out that he would hold other government spending in check, but
he believed that bringing some projects forward in time would not compromise the
longer-term financial outlook, and had the advantage of getting work done more cheaply during the
downturn. He says the improved infrastructure will prepare the economy to be in a better shape for
the next upturn.
- KEYNES BACK IN FASHION?
If all these immediate measures by central bankers and Finance Ministers feel like
a "Keynesian" response to the threat of global recession
then it probably is. Larry Elliot,
writing in the UK Guardian this week, points out that the terrorist attacks have instantly put
economic activism back into fashion. He argues that it represents a significant rethink on the
monetarist orthodoxy that has gripped economic policies in the West for nearly 30 years.
Larry Elliot: "Since the 1970s, macro-economic policy has been governed by the idea that
inflation is the real threat to prosperity. The theory was that trying to inject demand into
economies would lead to higher inflation rather than lower unemployment. [
] This no longer has quite
the same resonance after what happened last week. Central banks everywhere are now getting
the message loud and clear, and have acted in concert to cut interest rates, fearing that the
likely impact of the damage to New York and Washington will be a pronounced fall in consumer
spending that will lead to a recession, not just in the US but in Europe, Asia and Latin America as
well. The priority is international cooperation to boost growth.
"Of course, there may be pressure for business as usual once the crisis is over, but that's
hardly the way it feels at present. Take the example of the airlines, now facing catastrophic
losses. Airlines are a low-profit business and the market solution to the industry's predicament would
be to allow companies to go to the wall, thereby reducing capacity and increasing
profitability. George Bush's solution will be a bail-out package of billions of dollars as part of a massive
fiscal expansion straight out of the Keynesian textbook..."
Sources _ Seattle Post 8 September 2001 "Loss of jobs rocks US economy" by David Leonhardt; Time 17 September 2001
"Is this your father's recession?" by James Carney and John F. Dickerson; New Zealand Herald 19 September 2001 "World
faces war, threat of recession" by Geoff Cumming and agencies; "Shockwave may be economic catharsis" editorial; and
"Terrorism to spark rate cuts" by Brian Fallow; New Zealand Herald 20 September 2001 "Spending plan to stave off recession" by
Vernon Small; Guardian Weekly 20 September 2001 "Hard knocks ahead on the road to recovery" by Larry Elliot; The Guardian
"This crisis is fuelling economic expansion and a Keynesian revival" by Larry Elliot; New Zealand Herald 22 September
2001 "Jobsless figures soar after hits" Reuters; Sunday Star Times 23 September 2001 "World in threat of recession"; Time
24 September 2001 "The Economy: Up from the Ashes" by Daniel Kadlec.
- SNAP FOR STUDENT WORK
The government last month announced a pilot programme, called "Snap", where up
to 1000 tertiary students will be matched with skilled short-term jobs which are related to
their courses of study. The government will also issue a national call to employers to come
forward with work for the students.
Deputy PM Jim Anderton says that Snap is a response to the difficulty many businesses have
in finding affordable and capable short-term employees, and the need students have for
meaningful holiday work. Anderton: "Employers will be able to hire students with a related skill base
who can quickly grasp what needs to be done and undertake work which really helps a business
A new Student Work Start Grant programme has been developed which can help with
essential costs faced by students which they cannot afford to pay themselves. The programme is being
run in partnership with Student Job Search, which will pilot the programme in Auckland,
Hamilton, Gisborne and Invercargill. A special pilot aimed at Maori students will operate in Canterbury.
Sources _ Press Releases NZ Government 16 August 2001 "Government launches students work programme", 17 August
2001 "Auckland to get student matched jobs", 20 August 2001 "snap pilot regions announced".
- EMERGENCY DOLE RECONSIDERED
The policies which deny most students an Emergency Unemployment Benefit over
their holidays will be reviewed by the Ministry of Social Policy, according to MOSP's Sue
Mackwell, appearing before the Parliamentary Social Services Select Committee.
Mackwell reported that, since 1998, only students who received a student allowance during
the year, or whose hardship was caused through "exceptional circumstances" were eligible for
the benefit. The policy led to a drop in the number of students getting the benefit from 37,039
in 1998 to 22,163 in 1999. Since then, the numbers gaining the benefit under the
"exceptional circumstances" criteria has risen.
Last month, university students handed a petition with more than 7,500 signatures to
Alliance MP Liz Gordon, calling for a reinstatement of the Emergency Unemployment Benefit.
Dr Gordon has long questioned the equity of a scheme which denies assistance to a 23-year
old student who is unemployed, while paying a 23-year old unemployed person a benefit
because they chose not to study.
Sources _ The Dominion 6 September 2001 "Emergency dole for students to be reconsidered" by Leah Haines; New
Zealand Herald 6 September 2001 "Benefit policy for students to be reviewed" by NZPA
- CHANGES TO SHELTERED WORKSHOPS
The government will repeal the Disabled Persons Employment Act of 1960, which
gives sheltered workshops a blanket exemption from minimum wages and holiday provisions for
About 3,500 people with disabilities currently participate in sheltered workshops, 70% of
which are run by the IHC. These workshops produce goods for sale such as art, craft, woodwork
and sewing, or do light engineering or perform services such as gardening, lawnmowing or
recycling. Individuals in the workshops get their primary income from invalids or sickness benefits, and
are generally paid around $5 to $50 per week for their work (average payment: around $17/wk).
Disabilities Issues Minister Ruth Dyson says that the 1960 Act treats people with
disabilities unfairly. Dyson: "Its repeal is a long-awaited change that recognises the human rights of
people with disabilities and shows government's commitment to a fully inclusive society."
The changes to the Act will be phased in over the next five years to give sheltered workshops
and consumers time to adjust to the new environment. Further information can be found in a
government review paper called Pathways to
Inclusion that was launched last week.
Source _ Press Release NZ Government "Vocational services to focus on employment"
- CASH BID FOR GRADUATES
Hospital staffing shortages. Graduate doctors, nurses and midwives may be offered
loyalty payments if they choose to stay in NZ and help ease the hospital staffing crisis.
NZ is short of about 2,000 nurses after a 20% increase in the number heading overseas during
the past decade. There are also shortages of young doctors, surgeons, anaethetists, midwives
and specialists in areas such as psychiatry, oral health and radiation therapy.
The Health Workforce Advisory Committee has recommended to Health Minister Annette
King that graduate doctors be offered loyalty payments totalling up to $12,000 over three years.
Nurses and midwifes may also receive about $6,000 in extra payments.
The committee identified student debts as a major part of the health sector's staffing
problems. But it considered a loyalty payment scheme as simpler to administer rather than
introducing scholarships which bond students to work in NZ.
Source _ Sunday Star Times 16 September 2001 "Cash bid to sway doctors" by Nicholas Mailing
- COME HOME
Three Health Boards in the Auckland area will take part in a New Zealand
recruitment expo in London on October 20, organised by the newspaper
NZ News UK. Several thousand NZ expatriates are expected to attend. This expo follows on from another London event in
early September where a consortium of NZ businesses invited 450 successful NZ expatriates to
encourage them home to fill critical skill shortages in fields such as health, teaching and
One of the organisers, Annika Streefland of the global recruiter Korn/Kerry International
says that one fifth of New Zealand's working population, and maybe a third of its top talent is
employed overseas. But she argues that these skills are not necessarily lost to the NZ
economy. Streefland: "Don't think of them as a "brain drain"
think of them as an overseas resource."
- Investor and Warehouse founder Stephen Tindall and expatriate business professor
David Teece are keen to tap this "overseas resource". Following the Knowledge Wave conference
in Auckland last month, they have unveiled plans to advertise for an executive officer for a
proposed incorporated society to link some of the estimated 600,000 NZ'ers living overseas with
the idea of re-involving them in the NZ economy.
Sources New Zealand Herald 24 August 2001 "Brain Gain as NZ draws immigrants" by Simon Collins; New Zealand
Herald 19 September 2001 "It's not a brain drain, it's a foreign resource" by Vicki Jayne.
- TALENT VISAS
Immigration to NZ is expected to surge from the previous annual target of 38,000
people, to as many as 50,000 under a new government policy unveiled last week. Immigration
Minister Lianne Dalziel has announced the development of a "Talent Visa" policy in response to calls
for the country to attract more skilled and business migrants. The policy now means that
"talent" will take a higher priority in immigration decisions, and the existing categories under
which people can be granted NZ residence will be streamlined.
NZ First leader Winston Peter is critical of the new policies, saying they show all the
hallmarks of "the same old mess". Peters: "The overwhelming majority of the new immigrants will settle
in Auckland, and the rest of the country will be asked to pay for all sorts of infrastructural costs
to accommodate them
Source _ New Zealand Herald 17 September 2001 "Talented leapfrog to the front of queue"
- SOCIAL JUSTICE WEEK
The annual Social Justice Week held by the Catholic Church is marked this year with
the publication of Paying the Piper: Ourselves, Our World and
Debt. Louise May of the Caritas agency writes that one of the principles from Catholic social teachings that is relevant to debt
is principle of commutative justice.
Louise May: "This says debts should be paid back. If a debtor fails to do so without good
reason, then they are acting unjustly. However the principle of commutative justice also
acknowledges there is an exception to this rule. If a debtor has no money and no means of getting any, or
if repayment of the debt would impoverish the debtor and their dependants, they are under
no moral obligation to pay back the debt.
"This principle has some very real implications for the debt of people within our own
communities. When applied to the situation of people who receive inadequate income that does not
cover even their every day basic living expenses, it becomes clear there are those here in NZ who,
like the poorer nations of the world, should be eligible for debt relief or even cancellation of
Paying the Piper can be purchased for $4.50 plus postage from Caritas P.O.Box
12-193 Wellington phone 04-496-1742 fax 04-499-2519 email firstname.lastname@example.org
Social Auditing in New Zealand is a conference about social, ethical and
environmental accounting, auditing and reporting. It is being hosted by COMMACT in Wellington on
October 11-12, and speakers include John Pearce (UK), Richard Morley-Hall (The Warehouse),
Lindsay Gow (Ministry of Environment) Roger Blakeley (Porirua City Council) and Garth
Nowland-Foreman (not-for-profit sector). For more information contact P.O.Box 145 Westport phone
03-789-6604 email email@example.com
- The Social Entrepreneurship Conference, originally scheduled for October, will now
be held November 22-23 in Wellington. The conference will be hosted by the Community
Employment Group (CEG) in partnership with COMMACT Aotearoa, and will feature a range of
speakers and workshops that will examine social entrepreneurship and help to identify trends
and issues. Speakers from public, private and not-for-profit organisations will also provide
their perspective of social entrepreneurship in the wider context of economic development. One of
the aims of the conference will be to facilitate the development of a network for social
entrepreneurs in New Zealand. For further information and registration details contact CEG at P O Box
3705, Wellington phone 04-914-4900, fax 04-914-4901, email firstname.lastname@example.org or visit
the CEG website www.dol.govt.nz/CEGsocial.htm. A registration form is available from the website.
- See also the special issue of The Jobs
Letter on social entrepreneurs (No.147) at www.jobsletter.org.nz/jbl14700.htm
- ON STOPPING THE REEFTON MINE
" I've considered the report, I've made the decision, the Deputy Prime Minister and the
Prime Minister have both endorsed the decision that I've made, and I stand by it."
Sandra Lee, Minister of Conservation
" Stupid, gutless and dumb."
Damien O'Connor, West Coast MP (Labour) describing his coalition colleague's decision
" The $500 million project promised employment spin-offs for Nelson, Canterbury and Otago
as well as around 200 new jobs for the West Coast. Substantial heavy engineering works were
being negotiated with Brightwater Engineers in Nelson which would have meant an additional 20
jobs. The ore was to be processed in Palmerston supporting 30 jobs in North Otago. And
Canterbury misses out with the loss of millions of dollars in transport, construction and support
services, amounting to around 30 jobs
Nick Smith, MP for Nelson (National)
" If regions such as the West Coast are consistently denied the right to utilise their natural
resources for the generation of wealth and provision of jobs, then regional assistance
becomes nothing more than state dependency which progressively corrodes a community's values
Ken Shirley, ACT Party Deputy Leader
" If the government was forgoing good-quality, sustainable industrial development for
conservation, the approach is unbalanced. The West Coast can be assured of our support in pressing for
a more balanced approach
Andrew Little, Engineering Union National Secretary
" The Minister is sending some dangerous signals to the international investment
community with actions such as this. The Minister needs to categorically and transparently demonstrate
the justification for her actions, or revisit this issue in the interests of sustainable economic
development on the West Coast."
Peter Townsend, Canterbury Chamber of Commerce
" Mining is a dirty business with the potential to pollute and disfigure the environment, but
there is nothing in GRD Macrae's record to suggest it is anything other than a good corporate
citizen. Macrae's environmental record is particularly good.
" The issue is not whether GRD Macraes should extend its mining operations at Reefton,
but whether a Minister should be able to invoke one statute to fight a battle lost in another.
the issue is whether she as Minister should have the power to impose her will on the private
sector. There is no place for Ministers or governments acting God-like on matters of private
business. Let parliament set the environmental or investment rules if it must, but keep the executive
branch out of the decision-making process
editorial in the National Business
Review 24 August 2001
" Nowhere in New Zealand is the quirk of nature that places more than 70% of our known
minerals beneath the DoC estate, better illustrated than on the West Coast. More than 90% of the
Coast was controlled by DoC and is not rateable. We believe we must find a way to access and
use some of these resources in an environmentally responsible manner
Douglas Gordon, Mineral Association Chief Executive
" This is not just a Reefton concern. It is a coast-wide issue. The whole infrastructure of the
coast will benefit from Macraes if it gets the go-ahead. The college is struggling to keep pupils
and staff, but a gold-mining town is easy to attract and keep people. There will be support services,
a busy main street, and everything becomes more viable
Wayne Wright, Reefton Primary School Principal
" The West Coast recently received $120 million of public money to help it develop new
forms of employment following the end of logging native forests. We are sure that West Coast
people are capable of finding more constructive ventures than digging a huge, polluting hole in
the middle of the Victoria Conservation Park."
Cath Wallace, spokesperson for Royal Forest and Bird Society
"If mining brought real long-term benefits to local communities, why aren't the West Coast
and Coromandels the wealthiest areas of New Zealand? Whilst the West Coast has good growth
now, its not due to mining. The region's economic growth is much more based on the natural values
of the region than dirty, extractive mining."
Eric Pyle, Conservation Manager Royal Forest and Bird Society
"We want the West Coast, not the Waste Coast".
conservationist, speaking at the ECO annual conference in Wanganui
" We're delighted the Minister hasn't fallen for the false claim that conservation costs jobs.
The West Coast belongs to all New Zealanders, and the Coasters, as local kaitiaki, have a special
duty to look after it for us, and accept the Ministers decision and protect rather than mine the
special lands they live upon."
Steve Day, Wellington conservationist
"Many former Macrae's shareholders have been amazed at the outpouring of support for
GRD following Sandra Lee's rejection
The experience of the company's North Otago mine
indicates that most of the major engineering work will go to Perth-based GRD Minproc, the top
jobs will go to Australians, huge fees will flow across the Tasman and profits will be distributed
to Australian shareholders
Brian Gaynor, columnist New Zealand
" People who believe mining was good for local communities should look at the poverty,
deprivation and high unemployment of Waihi on the Coromandel Peninsula. Despite hundreds
of millions of dollars of gold being extracted from two large, open-cast gold mines and
substantial funding of community projects by the mining companies, the people of Waihi still have
the highest level of economic deprivation and unemployment in the Coromandel and Hauraki
" The Coromandel experience of mining has been that most jobs particularly the skilled
jobs go to Australians or other overseas personnel moving into the area for the period of the
mining. Mining lasts a decade or so. The environmental risks from tailings dams last forever."
Jeanette Fitzsimons, Green Party co-leader and Coromandel MP
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